Canola, soy fall in tandem

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: February 11, 2019

Winnipeg (CNS Canada) – ICE Futures canola contracts were weaker on Monday, as losses in Chicago soyoil and other world vegetable oil markets weighed on prices.

Chart-based speculative selling contributed to the declines, as prices fell to their lowest levels in three weeks.

Large commercial supplies and concerns over Chinese demand also weighed on values, according to traders.

However, weakness in the Canadian dollar provided some support. Relatively solid crush margins also kept domestic processors interested on a scale down basis.

About 25,432 canola contracts traded on Monday, which compares with Friday when 44,256 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 21,708 of the contracts traded.

Read Also

Photo: JHVEPhoto/Getty Images Plus

U.S. grains: Soybeans, corn fall on harvest pressure

U.S. corn and soybean futures were lower on Monday in choppy trade, pressured by the expanding Midwest harvest of both crops, but uncertainty about quarterly government stocks data due on Tuesday kept a floor under prices, analysts said.

SOYBEAN futures were lower on Monday, with soyoil leading to the downside.

Trade talks between the United States and China are taking place in Beijing this week, keeping some caution in the futures. A looming Friday deadline before another possible U.S. government shutdown also kept traders on edge.

Weekly U.S. soybean export sales came in at just over a million tonnes, with Chinese business accounting for nearly half of the movement, according to a report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

The USDA also announced a 120,000 tonne sale of soymeal to Ecuador.

The advancing Brazilian harvest weighed on prices, with progress running well ahead of normal.

However, hot and dry conditions during the growing season cut into yield prospects in the South American country, providing some underlying support. Brazil’s AgRural pegged the crop at 112.5 million tonnes, which would be 3.5 million tonnes below the USDA’s latest estimate.

CORN futures posted small losses, with strength in the U.S. dollar index behind some of the weakness as the rising currency may cut into export demand. for some fresh fundamental news to push it one way or the other.

Weekly U.S. corn export inspections of 743,000 tonnes were down by 17.5 per cent from the previous week.

WHEAT futures were mixed, as the three markets saw some spread adjustments.

The USDA announced flash sales of 128,000 tonnes of hard red winter wheat to Nigeria this morning, and an additional 120,000 tonnes of soft red winter wheat to Egypt.

Weekly U.S. wheat export sales of 562,000 tonnes were well above the previous week’s level.

While the business was supportive for prices, the U.S. continues to face stiff competition from Russia.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was down 31 cents at US$52.41 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US75.22 cents, down from 75.36 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3294.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Mar 19  479.70s  -3.60  -0.74%

Canola May 19  487.90s  -3.90  -0.79%

Canola Jul 19  495.80s  -4.10  -0.82%

Canola Nov 19  494.70s  -4.50  -0.90%

Canola Jan 20  499.30s  -4.60  -0.91%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybean Mar 19  905-0s  -9-4  -1.04%

Soybean May 19  919-2s  -9-4  -1.02%

Soybean Jul 19  933-0s  -9-2  -0.98%

Soybean Aug 19  938-4s  -9-2  -0.98%

Soybean Sep 19  941-2s  -9-0  -0.95%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 19  304.9s  -1.2  -0.39%

Soybean Meal May 19  308.9s  -1.2  -0.39%

Soybean Meal Jul 19  312.8s  -1.2  -0.38%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 19  30.24s  -0.63  -2.04%

Soybean Oil May 19  30.57s  -0.62  -1.99%

Soybean Oil Jul 19  30.88s  -0.61  -1.94%

 

Corn Mar 19  372-6s  -1-4  -0.40%

Corn May 19  380-6s  -1-4  -0.39%

Corn Jul 19  388-4s  -1-4  -0.38%

Corn Sep 19  392-0s  -1-4  -0.38%

Corn Dec 19  397-6s  -1-4  -0.38%

 

Oats Mar 19  282-2s  -2-0  -0.70%

Oats May 19  285-0s  -1-6  -0.61%

Oats Jul 19  284-4s  -1-4  -0.52%

Oats Sep 19  276-4s  -1-6  -0.63%

Oats Dec 19  268-6s  -2-4  -0.92%

 

Wheat Mar 19  518-2s  +1-0  +0.19%

Wheat May 19  520-4s  +1-0  +0.19%

Wheat Jul 19  522-6s  +0-4  +0.10%

Wheat Sep 19  530-4s  +0-6  +0.14%

Wheat Dec 19  543-6s  +1-2  +0.23%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 19  573-6s  +5-2  +0.92%

Spring Wheat May 19  569-4s  +0-4  +0.09%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  574-4s  unch  unch

Spring Wheat Sep 19  580-0s  -0-2  -0.04%

Spring Wheat Dec 19  592-2s  -0-2  -0.04%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  493-6s  -0-4  -0.10%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  499-4s  -1-6  -0.35%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  507-2s  -1-6  -0.34%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  518-4s  -1-0  -0.19%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19  536-2s  -0-4  -0.09%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Feb 19  127.825s  +0.450  +0.35%

Live Cattle Apr 19  128.300s  +0.375  +0.29%

Live Cattle Jun 19  118.375s  +0.275  +0.23%

 

Feeder Cattle Mar 19  144.675s  +0.575  +0.40%

Feeder Cattle Apr 19  146.675s  +0.775  +0.53%

Feeder Cattle May 19  147.675s  +0.775  +0.53%

 

Lean Hogs Feb 19  55.175s  +0.125  +0.23%

Lean Hogs Apr 19  59.075s  +0.650  +1.11%

Lean Hogs May 19  67.400s  +1.000  +1.51%

 

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

explore

Stories from our other publications