Your reading list

Canola holds despite China worries

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: January 18, 2019

,

Winnipeg – The ICE Futures canola contacts finished the day stronger, despite continuing concerns about China.

There is ongoing concern from traders that China/Canada relations are affecting canola exports, with China lowering purchases.
The latest Canadian Grain Commission data this morning showed canola exports are at 4.628 million tonnes, down from 5.057 million tonnes at this time last year.
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean, oil and meal contracts were all stronger. While canola found support from the soy complex, it lagged in value compared to soy.

Read Also

Canola holds despite China worries

Australian crops to surpass 10-year averages

Australian farmers are forecast to grow slightly more canola and barley this year, while wheat production may dip, according to the latest estimates from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES).

United States markets will be closed Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, while the canola market will trade normal hours.

About 23,251 canola contracts traded, which compares with Thursday when 14,983 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 14,200 of the contracts traded.
Bloomberg reported this morning that China offered a six-year boost in imports from the United States during trade talks earlier in the month. The U.S. had a trade deficit of US$323 billion with China last year; this deal would aim to reduce that annual trade difference to US$0 by 2024.

The Wall Street Journal published a story Thursday which said the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had proposed lifting the tariffs on Chinese imports in an effort to speed up negotiations.
China and the U.S. will be meeting later this month to continue trade negotiations. The 90-day truce is set to end at the end of February.
CBOT corn prices finished the day mostly stronger, finding sympathy support from the soy complex.
Indonesia has delayed its deadline for their tender of 30,000 tonnes of corn.

Wheat futures in the U.S. finished the day mixed, with most of the major contracts stronger.
The wheat markets have been finding support from rumors of more wheat being sold to Asian countries.
Philippine importers bought around 85,000 tonnes of feed wheat earlier this week.
There are reports that Russia’s Agriculture Ministry is planning to regulate domestic grain prices in an effort to maintain stability on the market.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was up $1.73 at UOUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was up $1.73 at US$53.80 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US75.41 cents, up from 75.22 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3260.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Mar 19  484.20s  +1.00  +0.21%

Canola May 19  492.30s  +1.10  +0.22%

Canola Jul 19  500.50s  +1.70  +0.34%

Canola Nov 19  498.40s  +1.20  +0.24%

Canola Jan 20  503.60s  +0.60  +0.12%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 19  916-6s  +9-0  +0.99%

Soybeans May 19  930-0s  +9-0  +0.98%

Soybeans Jul 19  942-4s  +8-4  +0.91%

Soybeans Aug 19  947-4s  +8-4  +0.91%

Soybeans Sep 19  949-0s  +8-0  +0.85%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 19  315.1s  +2.9  +0.93%

Soybean Meal May 19  318.6s  +2.8  +0.89%

Soybean Meal Jul 19  322.3s  +2.7  +0.84%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 19  29.01s  +0.24  +0.83%

Soybean Oil May 19  29.29s  +0.25  +0.86%

Soybean Oil Jul 19  29.59s  +0.26  +0.89%

 

Corn Mar 19  381-6s  +1-6  +0.46%

Corn May 19  390-0s  +2-0  +0.52%

Corn Jul 19  397-2s  +1-6  +0.44%

Corn Sep 19  399-6s  +1-2  +0.31%

Corn Dec 19  403-6s  +0-4  +0.12%

 

Oats Mar 19  298-6s  +3-0  +1.01%

Oats May 19  295-0s  +2-4  +0.85%

Oats Jul 19  293-4s  +2-6  +0.95%

Oats Sep 19  284-2s  +2-0  +0.71%

Oats Dec 19  281-0s  +4-0  +1.44%

 

Wheat Mar 19  517-6s  unch  unch

Wheat May 19  523-4s  +0-4  +0.10%

Wheat Jul 19  528-6s  +0-4  +0.09%

Wheat Sep 19  536-6s  unch  unch

Wheat Dec 19  550-0s  +0-2  +0.05%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 19  574-2s  +2-2  +0.39%

Spring Wheat May 19  579-0s  +2-2  +0.39%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  585-4s  +2-2  +0.39%

Spring Wheat Sep 19  592-2s  +1-6  +0.30%

Spring Wheat Dec 19  604-4s  +1-0  +0.17%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  506-0s  +2-0  +0.40%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  515-2s  +0-6  +0.15%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  524-4s  unch  unch

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  536-6s  +0-2  +0.05%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19  552-6s  -0-4  -0.09%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Feb 19  126.525s  -0.575  -0.45%

Live Cattle Apr 19  127.375s  +0.475  +0.37%

Live Cattle Jun 19  117.450s  +0.625  +0.53%

 

Feeder Cattle Jan 19  141.450s  +0.025  +0.02%

Feeder Cattle Mar 19  142.825s  -0.100  -0.07%

Feeder Cattle Apr 19  144.400s  +0.175  +0.12%

 

Lean Hogs Feb 19  61.225s  +0.375  +0.62%

Lean Hogs Apr 19  66.275s  +1.650  +2.55%

Lean Hogs May 19  72.025s  +1.400  +1.98%

 S$53.80 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US75.41 cents, up from 75.22 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3260.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Mar 19  484.20s  +1.00  +0.21%

Canola May 19  492.30s  +1.10  +0.22%

Canola Jul 19  500.50s  +1.70  +0.34%

Canola Nov 19  498.40s  +1.20  +0.24%

Canola Jan 20  503.60s  +0.60  +0.12%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 19  916-6s  +9-0  +0.99%

Soybeans May 19  930-0s  +9-0  +0.98%

Soybeans Jul 19  942-4s  +8-4  +0.91%

Soybeans Aug 19  947-4s  +8-4  +0.91%

Soybeans Sep 19  949-0s  +8-0  +0.85%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 19  315.1s  +2.9  +0.93%

Soybean Meal May 19  318.6s  +2.8  +0.89%

Soybean Meal Jul 19  322.3s  +2.7  +0.84%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 19  29.01s  +0.24  +0.83%

Soybean Oil May 19  29.29s  +0.25  +0.86%

Soybean Oil Jul 19  29.59s  +0.26  +0.89%

 

Corn Mar 19  381-6s  +1-6  +0.46%

Corn May 19  390-0s  +2-0  +0.52%

Corn Jul 19  397-2s  +1-6  +0.44%

Corn Sep 19  399-6s  +1-2  +0.31%

Corn Dec 19  403-6s  +0-4  +0.12%

 

Oats Mar 19  298-6s  +3-0  +1.01%

Oats May 19  295-0s  +2-4  +0.85%

Oats Jul 19  293-4s  +2-6  +0.95%

Oats Sep 19  284-2s  +2-0  +0.71%

Oats Dec 19  281-0s  +4-0  +1.44%

 

Wheat Mar 19  517-6s  unch  unch

Wheat May 19  523-4s  +0-4  +0.10%

Wheat Jul 19  528-6s  +0-4  +0.09%

Wheat Sep 19  536-6s  unch  unch

Wheat Dec 19  550-0s  +0-2  +0.05%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 19  574-2s  +2-2  +0.39%

Spring Wheat May 19  579-0s  +2-2  +0.39%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  585-4s  +2-2  +0.39%

Spring Wheat Sep 19  592-2s  +1-6  +0.30%

Spring Wheat Dec 19  604-4s  +1-0  +0.17%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  506-0s  +2-0  +0.40%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  515-2s  +0-6  +0.15%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  524-4s  unch  unch

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  536-6s  +0-2  +0.05%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19  552-6s  -0-4  -0.09%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Feb 19  126.525s  -0.575  -0.45%

Live Cattle Apr 19  127.375s  +0.475  +0.37%

Live Cattle Jun 19  117.450s  +0.625  +0.53%

 

Feeder Cattle Jan 19  141.450s  +0.025  +0.02%

Feeder Cattle Mar 19  142.825s  -0.100  -0.07%

Feeder Cattle Apr 19  144.400s  +0.175  +0.12%

 

Lean Hogs Feb 19  61.225s  +0.375  +0.62%

Lean Hogs Apr 19  66.275s  +1.650  +2.55%

Lean Hogs May 19  72.025s  +1.400  +1.98%

 

About the author

Ashley Robinson

Ashley Robinson writes for MarketsFarm specializing in grain and commodity market reporting.

Markets at a glance

explore

Stories from our other publications