Canola futures weaker; wheat down too

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: August 26, 2019

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Winnipeg,  (MarketsFarm) – The ICE Futures canola market was weaker on Monday, retreating from earlier gains in choppy activity.

Strength in the Canadian dollar and a steady tone in Chicago Board of Trade soyoil accounted for some of the selling pressure, as crush margins softened.

Chart-based speculative selling contributed to the declines, with the November contract testing the lower edge of its nearby trading range.

However, investors were still showing a reluctance to push values too far one way or the other until they get a better sense of new crop production.

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Photo: File

Feed Grain Weekly: Barley prices stay steady for now

Susanne Leclerc of Market Master Ltd. in Edmonton said feed barley prices have stayed put over the past week.

Statistics Canada releases its first survey-based crop estimates on Wednesday, Aug. 28, which should provide some nearby direction for the market.

CBOT soybeans were stronger on the day, helping limit the losses in canola.

About 13,148 canola contracts traded on Monday, which compares with Friday when 9,927 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 8,348 of the contracts traded.

SOYBEAN futures at the Chicago Board of Trade were stronger on Monday, taking back some of Friday’s declines as concerns over the trade war between the United States and China showed signs of easing.

After new tariffs and comments from President Trump heighted trade tensions on Friday, both sides were back calling for calm to start the week.

Ideas that U.S. soybean yields may not live up to earlier expectations also provided some support, as a crop tour last week showed smaller pod counts in many areas.

Weekly U.S. soybean export inspections of just under a million tonnes were down slightly from the previous week, but up from what moved during the same week a year ago. China was a major buyer.

CORN ended narrowly mixed, seeing some consolidation to start the week after Friday’s losses.

Forecasts calling for beneficial rain in some dry U.S. corn growing regions over the next week put some pressure on values.

Weekly US corn export inspections of 640,000 tonnes were up on the week, but only about half of what moved during the same week a year ago.

The announcement of a tentative trade deal between the U.S. and Japan was somewhat supportive.

WHEAT futures were lower on Monday, taking back some of their recent gains.

While wheat was due for a correction, the trade deal with Japan could open the door for more U.S. wheat sales to the country.

Weekly U.S. wheat export inspections came in at just under half a million tonnes.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was  US$53.80 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was  US75.31 cents. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3278.

Name / Contract Last Change % Change
Canola Nov 19 448.40s -1.50 -0.33%
Canola Jan 20 456.20s -1.50 -0.33%
Canola Mar 20 463.20s -1.70 -0.37%
Canola May 20 469.60s -1.40 -0.30%
Canola Jul 20 476.10s -1.00 -0.21%
Soybean Sep 19 853-6s +10-4 +1.25%
Soybean Nov 19 867-2s +10-6 +1.26%
Soybean Jan 20 880-4s +9-2 +1.06%
Soybean Mar 20 893-4s +8-2 +0.93%
Soybean May 20 904-2s +7-0 +0.78%
Soybean Meal Sep 19 293.0s +3.1 +1.07%
Soybean Meal Oct 19 295.0s +3.2 +1.10%
Soybean Meal Dec 19 298.6s +3.2 +1.08%
Soybean Oil Sep 19 28.33s -0.01 -0.04%
Soybean Oil Oct 19 28.45s unch unch
Soybean Oil Dec 19 28.69s -0.01 -0.03%
Corn Sep 19 358-4s -1-2 -0.35%
Corn Dec 19 368-2s +0-4 +0.14%
Corn Mar 20 380-4s +0-4 +0.13%
Corn May 20 389-0s +0-4 +0.13%
Corn Jul 20 395-6s +0-4 +0.13%
Oats Sep 19 263-0s -1-6 -0.66%
Oats Dec 19 270-0s +3-0 +1.12%
Oats Mar 20 274-0s +2-6 +1.01%
Oats May 20 273-6s +2-6 +1.01%
Oats Jul 20 273-6s +0-6 +0.27%
Wheat Sep 19 473-0s -2-2 -0.47%
Wheat Dec 19 475-2s -2-4 -0.52%
Wheat Mar 20 481-4s -2-0 -0.41%
Wheat May 20 485-0s -1-6 -0.36%
Wheat Jul 20 488-4s -2-0 -0.41%
Spring Wheat Sep 19 492-6s -6-0 -1.20%
Spring Wheat Dec 19 511-6s -2-6 -0.53%
Spring Wheat Mar 20 525-2s -2-2 -0.43%
Spring Wheat May 20 534-4s -2-6 -0.51%
Spring Wheat Jul 20 543-6s -3-4 -0.64%
Hard Red Wheat Sep 19 389-0s -2-4 -0.64%
Hard Red Wheat Dec 19 402-0s -2-6 -0.68%
Hard Red Wheat Mar 20 417-4s -2-4 -0.60%
Hard Red Wheat May 20 428-2s -2-6 -0.64%
Hard Red Wheat Jul 20 438-2s -2-4 -0.57%
Live Cattle (Pit) Aug 19 105.475s +0.850 +0.81%
Live Cattle (Pit) Oct 19 101.000s +1.600 +1.61%
Live Cattle (Pit) Dec 19 105.975s +1.675 +1.61%
Feeder Cattle (Pit) Aug 19 138.650s +1.300 +0.95%
Feeder Cattle (Pit) Sep 19 136.000s +2.750 +2.06%
Feeder Cattle (Pit) Oct 19 134.375s +1.850 +1.40%
Lean Hogs (Pit) Oct 19 63.800s +4.500 +7.59%
Lean Hogs (Pit) Dec 19 63.025s +4.250 +7.23%
Lean Hogs (Pit) Feb 20 70.200s +3.850 +5.80%
       
       

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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