Canola futures weaken after gains

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Published: December 19, 2019

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WINNIPEG, (MarketsFarm) – Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Futures canola contracts finished weaker on Wednesday, taking back gains made earlier in the week.

Weakness in the soy complex on the Chicago Board of Trade weighed on canola values. Soybean prices were lower after posting gains for four consecutive days.

Vegetable oil markets were lower today due to weakened Malaysian palm oil futures. According to one company, price rationing is lowering demand for palm oil.  However, one trader said, canola remains competitively priced compared to other vegetable oils.  Canola values were supported by strong trade activity and profit-taking ahead of the holidays. Grain markets have been pushing higher throughout the month, and are expected to hang on to gains into the New Years.

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The Canadian dollar was steady at around 76 U.S. cents at midday, keeping some pressure on canola values.  On Tuesday, 50,260 contracts were traded, which compares with Tuesday when 52,996 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 43,244 contracts traded.

SOYBEAN futures at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) were lower on Wednesday, taking back gains made earlier in the week.

Vegetable oil markets were lower today due to weakened Malaysian palm oil futures. According to one company, price rationing is lowering demand for palm oil. Soybean prices were lower after posting gains for four straight days.

The new trade agreement between the United States and China may see U.S. exports to China double over the next two years. In the past, China has purchased around US$24 billion in agriculture goods per year. Some industry experts don’t believe doubling that amount to US$40 to US$50 per year is logistically possible.

CORN futures finished slightly lower today. One private company estimated planted acreage for corn in 2020 will be around 94.1 million acres. In 2019, planted corn totalled 89.9 million acres.

China may resume purchasing U.S. ethanol under the new trade deal, in order to meet its spending commitments. That would give ethanol values a boost, as prices have been suffering due to tariffs and lowered demand.

Estimates for Argentina’s corn crop are shrinking, due to poorly-timed dry weather. Some estimates are as low as 48 million tonnes.

WHEAT futures were weaker on Wednesday, giving back some double-digit gains made earlier in the week.

One private company estimates that U.S. wheat planted in 2020 will total 44.3 million acres. That’s 1.3 million acres lower than in 2019, and almost 10 per cent lower than the five-year average.

World Grain reported that Ukrainian wheat planting is 10 per cent lower than the previous year due to drought conditions in the fall.

Export demand provided some support for wheat values. Japan issued an international wheat tender for 148,405 tonnes of wheat. Of that, 53,801 tonnes will be sourced from the U.S.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was down one cents at US$60.93 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US76.23 cents, up from 75.99 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3119.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

 

Canola Jan 20  465.60s  -0.80  -0.17%

Canola Mar 20  474.80s  -0.30  -0.06%

Canola May 20  483.60s  -0.60  -0.12%

Canola Jul 20  489.30s  -1.00  -0.20%

Canola Nov 20  490.70s  -1.60  -0.33%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybean Jan 20  928-4s  -0-2  -0.03%

Soybean Mar 20  940-4s  -0-2  -0.03%

Soybean May 20  954-0s  -0-2  -0.03%

Soybean Jul 20  965-4s  -0-4  -0.05%

Soybean Aug 20  969-2s  unch  unch

 

Soybean Meal Jan 20  302.9s  +0.6  +0.20%

Soybean Meal Mar 20  307.4s  +1.0  +0.33%

Soybean Meal May 20  310.5s  +1.2  +0.39%

 

Soybean Oil Jan 20  33.43s  -0.39  -1.15%

Soybean Oil Mar 20  33.72s  -0.38  -1.11%

Soybean Oil May 20  33.99s  -0.37  -1.08%

 

Corn Mar 20  387-0s  -3-0  -0.77%

Corn May 20  393-4s  -3-0  -0.76%

Corn Jul 20  399-4s  -2-6  -0.68%

Corn Sep 20  398-0s  -2-2  -0.56%

Corn Dec 20  400-0s  -2-0  -0.50%

 

Oats Mar 20  299-4s  -7-0  -2.28%

Oats May 20  295-6s  -6-4  -2.15%

Oats Jul 20  287-6s  -5-0  -1.71%

Oats Sep 20  278-6s  -1-6  -0.62%

Oats Dec 20  273-2s  -2-2  -0.82%

 

Wheat Mar 20  548-2s  -8-0  -1.44%

Wheat May 20  551-6s  -7-2  -1.30%

Wheat Jul 20  553-4s  -5-4  -0.98%

Wheat Sep 20  558-6s  -4-4  -0.80%

Wheat Dec 20  568-0s  -3-4  -0.61%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 20  538-4s  -0-2  -0.05%

Spring Wheat May 20  546-4s  -0-4  -0.09%

Spring Wheat Jul 20  554-2s  -1-2  -0.23%

Spring Wheat Sep 20  563-0s  -0-4  -0.09%

Spring Wheat Dec 20  576-0s  -0-4  -0.09%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 20  462-2s  -4-6  -1.02%

Hard Red Wheat May 20  470-4s  -4-4  -0.95%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 20  477-4s  -3-6  -0.78%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 20  485-0s  -3-2  -0.67%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 20  495-6s  -2-4  -0.50%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Dec 19  122.250s  +0.025  +0.02%

Live Cattle Feb 20  126.125s  -0.175  -0.14%

Live Cattle Apr 20  127.250s  -0.075  -0.06%

 

Feeder Cattle Jan 20  144.550s  -0.600  -0.41%

Feeder Cattle Mar 20  144.900s  -0.825  -0.57%

Feeder Cattle Apr 20  146.925s  -0.725  -0.49%

 

Lean Hogs Feb 20  69.900s  +0.050  +0.07%

Lean Hogs Apr 20  77.225s  -0.175  -0.23%

Lean Hogs May 20  83.950s  -0.175  -0.21%

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