Canola futures hold steady; wheat weaker

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Published: March 29, 2019

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WINNIPEG – ICE Futures canola contracts were steady at the end of trading on Friday.
Earlier in the day, the May canola contract hit C$459.60 per tonne, by slipped back to C$455.30 per tonne for a gain of 10 cents compared to yesterday’s close.

A Winnipeg-based trader said there wasn’t a clear reason as to why prices had been up earlier on Friday, but could have been short covering, some form of spread liquidation or a combination of little things.

The Canadian dollar was stronger on Friday, at 74.87 U.S. cents, which weighed on canola values.

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Also ongoing Canada/China tensions weighed on values. On Thursday, federal Minister of Public Safety Ralph Goodale commented China has yet to provide any scientific evidence to back up their claim that canola from Richardson International and Viterra was contaminated with hazardous pests.

“We will keep pushing as hard as we can on this vital point,” Goodale stated.

The dispute began when Canadian authorities arrested a Huawei executive in December at the request of the United States.

Large canola supplies in Canada and United States farmers likely switching from corn to planting soybeans also tempered gains.

As well pressure from soybeans on the Chicago Board of trade weighed on values. In the U.S. Department of Agriculture report on Grain Stocks estimated soybean stocks, at 73.9 million tonnes, to be about 29 per cent larger than this time last year.

About 25,735 contracts were traded on Friday, which compares with Thursday when approximately 16,290 contracts changed hands.

SOYBEAN futures at the Chicago Board of Trade were weaker on Friday, dragged down by sagging corn prices, according to a report.

Soybeans made gains earlier in trading on news that private exporters sold 1.102 million tonnes to China during the 2018/2019 crop year.

Trade talks between the United States and China wrapped up in Beijing on Friday. U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said talks were constructive. Negotiations are set to resume next week in Washington.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its Prospective Plantings report on Friday. Soybeans were pegged at 84.6 million acres, a drop of five per cent from last year.

The USDA also released its Grain Stocks report on Friday. As of March 1, soybeans were at 73.9 million tonnes, down 27.5% from December. But stocks were 29 per cent larger than this time last year.

CORN futures were weaker on Friday.

Corn acres were projected to be 92.8 million acres, up four per cent from last year. However severe flooding in the U.S. could bring changes to planting intentions from corn to soybeans.

The USDA reported corn stocks at 218.6 million tonnes, down nearly 28 per cent from December and three per cent smaller than in March 2018.

WHEAT futures were also weaker on Friday.

The USDA reported total wheat acres were estimated at 45.8 million acres, down four per cent and the lowest wheat estimate in 100 years.

Total wheat stocks were 43.3 million tonnes, down 21 per cent from December, but six per cent larger than this time last year.

 

 

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was up 84 cents at US$60.14 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US74.83 cents, down from 74.47 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3363.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola May 19 455.30s +0.10 +0.02%

Canola Jul 19 462.90s +0.10 +0.02%

Canola Nov 19 474.50s +0.70 +0.15%

Canola Jan 20 480.80s +0.50 +0.10%

Canola Mar 20 486.00s +0.60 +0.12%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybean May 19 884-2s -5-2 -0.59%

Soybean Jul 19 897-6s -5-2 -0.58%

Soybean Aug 19 904-0s -5-0 -0.55%

Soybean Sep 19 909-4s -5-0 -0.55%

Soybean Nov 19 919-0s -4-6 -0.51%

 

Soybean Meal May 19 306.5s unch unch

Soybean Meal Jul 19 310.0s -0.2 -0.06%

Soybean Meal Aug 19 311.5s -0.2 -0.06%

 

Soybean Oil May 19 28.36s -0.27 -0.94%

Soybean Oil Jul 19 28.69s -0.27 -0.93%

Soybean Oil Aug 19 28.84s -0.25 -0.86%

 

Corn May 19 356-4s -17-4 -4.68%

Corn Jul 19 366-2s -17-4 -4.56%

Corn Sep 19 375-0s -16-0 -4.09%

Corn Dec 19 384-6s -13-4 -3.39%

Corn Mar 20 397-0s -11-4 -2.82%

 

Oats May 19 269-0s +4-2 +1.61%

Oats Jul 19 268-4s +4-0 +1.51%

Oats Sep 19 262-4s +3-0 +1.16%

Oats Dec 19 255-2s +0-4 +0.20%

Oats Mar 20 254-0s +0-2 +0.10%

 

Wheat May 19 457-6s -6-6 -1.45%

Wheat Jul 19 463-4s -7-0 -1.49%

Wheat Sep 19 471-0s -7-6 -1.62%

Wheat Dec 19 484-6s -8-4 -1.72%

Wheat Mar 20 497-6s -8-4 -1.68%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 19 554-6s -5-2 -0.94%

Spring Wheat Jul 19 557-0s -4-0 -0.71%

Spring Wheat Sep 19 562-6s -3-4 -0.62%

Spring Wheat Dec 19 574-0s -3-4 -0.61%

Spring Wheat Mar 20 586-4s -2-6 -0.47%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat May 19 430-0s -8-6 -1.99%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19 437-6s -9-0 -2.01%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19 448-6s -9-6 -2.13%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19 469-6s -9-0 -1.88%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 20 487-4s -8-2 -1.66%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Apr 19 125.700s -0.825 -0.65%

Live Cattle Jun 19 119.000s -0.625 -0.52%

Live Cattle Aug 19 115.675s -0.825 -0.71%

 

Feeder Cattle Apr 19 145.250s -0.700 -0.48%

Feeder Cattle May 19 148.775s -0.900 -0.60%

Feeder Cattle Aug 19 156.250s -0.600 -0.38%

 

Lean Hogs Apr 19 77.375s -1.500 -1.90%

Lean Hogs May 19 81.325s -2.350 -2.81%

Lean Hogs Jun 19 88.550s -3.250 -3.54%

About the author

Glen Hallick

Glen Hallick

Reporter

Glen Hallick grew up in rural Manitoba near Starbuck, where his family farmed. Glen has a degree in political studies from the University of Manitoba and studied creative communications at Red River College. Before joining Glacier FarmMedia, Glen was an award-winning reporter and editor with several community newspapers and group editor for the Interlake Publishing Group. Glen is an avid history buff and enjoys following politics.

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