Canola dips on generally down day on the markets

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Published: March 17, 2015

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Canola futures fell less than one percent but corn was down more than two percent on ideas that demand for American crops is waning as its currency rises and South American crops crowd on to the world market.

Canola fell less than soybeans as modest buying in thin volume offset some of the negativity in markets.

Canola exports of late have been below the level needed to meet Agriculture Canada’s export forecast of 9.2 million tonnes. However, as we mentioned last week, Chinese buyers have been in the market recently and that should help export volumes to pick up.

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Photo: Geralyn Wichers

U.S. livestock: Cattle futures end lower in profit-taking, technical correction

Chicago Mercantile Exchange cattle futures declined for a second straight session on Wednesday in a profit-taking and technical-selling correction from recent highs.

Soybeans fell on weak U.S. export prospects and the prospect for a big jump in soybean acres in the U.S. this spring.

Corn futures suffered as China, the world’s second-largest corn consumer, has booked over 600,000 tonnes of corn from Ukraine this year and more deals from the Black Sea are expected as Beijing’s stockpiling dries up supplies and boosts domestic prices. Reuters reported.

Wheat rose in early overnight trading but then fell off during the trading day with a sharp drop right at the close.

Wheat had been supported by concerns about dry conditions in the southern U.S. Plains and the condition of crops in Russia.

The weekly crop condition reports in Kansas and Oklahoma showed deterioration from the previous week, but they are still in better condition than last year at this time.

After hitting a two week high, wheat began to sell off because it was pricing U.S. wheat out of the global market. Also, the fall in corn weighed on wheat.

The U.S. Federal Reserve provides a statement on monetary policy Wednesday and that will have a big impact on the U.S. dollar, which has been rising rapidly for months.

It is unlikely that the Fed will actually do anything, but its language about what it will do in the future will be closely watched.

Most analysts expect the fed will raise rates sometime in the second half of the year if the U.S. economy continues to grow and post good monthly job creation.

Two economic indicators came in weaker than expected with monthly housing starts falling to the lowest level in a year and U.S. manufacturing output in February falling for the third month in a row.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 42 cents to US$43.46 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US78.31 cents, down slightly from 78.34 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2769.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 35.77 points, or 0.24 percent, at 14,898.53.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 129.98 points, or 0.72 percent, to 17,847.44, the S&P 500 lost 7.02 points, or 0.34 percent, to 2,074.17 and the Nasdaq Composite added 7.93 points, or 0.16 percent, to 4,937.44.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2015       457.10       -3.60       -0.78%

Canola Jul 2015       454.10       -2.50       -0.55%

Canola Nov 2015       443.40       -3.00       -0.67%

Canola Jan 2016       444.50       -3.00       -0.67%

Canola Mar 2016       447.10       -3.00       -0.67%

 

Milling Wheat May 2015       238.00       -4.00       -1.65%

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       240.00       -4.00       -1.64%

Milling Wheat Oct 2015       243.00       -4.00       -1.62%

 

Durum Wheat May 2015       323.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       313.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2015       318.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley May 2015       184.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       186.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2015       177.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2015       954.5       -14.75       -1.52%

Soybeans Jul 2015       959.5       -14.25       -1.46%

Soybeans Aug 2015       959.25       -13.25       -1.36%

Soybeans Sep 2015       945.75       -13.5       -1.41%

Soybeans Nov 2015       940       -11.5       -1.21%

Soybeans Jan 2016       945       -11.5       -1.20%

 

Soybean Meal May 2015       317.5       -6.2       -1.92%

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       315.9       -4.9       -1.53%

Soybean Meal Aug 2015       315.3       -3.9       -1.22%

 

Soybean Oil May 2015       30.04       -0.35       -1.15%

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       30.24       -0.34       -1.11%

Soybean Oil Aug 2015       30.32       -0.34       -1.11%

 

Corn May 2015       371       -8       -2.11%

Corn Jul 2015       379       -8       -2.07%

Corn Sep 2015       386.75       -8       -2.03%

Corn Dec 2015       396.75       -7.5       -1.86%

Corn Mar 2016       406.75       -7       -1.69%

 

Oats May 2015       271       -7       -2.52%

Oats Jul 2015       273.5       -7       -2.50%

Oats Sep 2015       275.5       -7.25       -2.56%

Oats Dec 2015       274.75       -1.5       -0.54%

Oats Mar 2016       280.5       -4.75       -1.67%

 

Wheat May 2015       503.5       -10.5       -2.04%

Wheat Jul 2015       506.75       -9.75       -1.89%

Wheat Sep 2015       516.5       -9.5       -1.81%

Wheat Dec 2015       530.75       -8.5       -1.58%

Wheat Mar 2016       543.75       -6.75       -1.23%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2015       569.75       -11.25       -1.94%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       575.25       -11.25       -1.92%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       583.25       -11       -1.85%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       593       -10.5       -1.74%

Spring Wheat Mar 2016       605       -9.5       -1.55%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       542.75       -12.25       -2.21%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       548.5       -11.25       -2.01%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       560.5       -11       -1.92%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       576.5       -10.5       -1.79%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2016       589       -9.75       -1.63%

 

 

 

 

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