Canola continues to drop

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Published: February 26, 2019

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Winnipeg – ICE Futures canola contracts were weaker on Tuesday, continuing their downward slide to fresh lows.

Losses in the Chicago Board of Trade soy complex, large Canadian canola supplies and bearish technical signals all weighed on values, according to participants.

Speculators were noted sellers, adding to their growing net short positions as the trend lines pointed lower.

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Feed Grains Weekly: Price likely to keep stepping back

As the harvest in southern Alberta presses on, a broker said that is one of the factors pulling feed prices lower in the region. Darcy Haley, vice-president of Ag Value Brokers in Lethbridge, added that lower cattle numbers in feedlots, plentiful amounts of grass for cattle to graze and a lacklustre export market also weighed on feed prices.

Meanwhile, end-users on the other side were content to watch the prices slide and were only buying on a scale-down basis.

SOYBEAN futures at the Chicago Board of Trade were weaker on Tuesday, as trade uncertainty weighed on values.

Optimism over trade talks between the United States and China had lent some overnight support to soybeans. However, with still no confirmation on any actual increase in Chinese soybean purchases the market turned lower.

Losses in Malaysian palm oil futures, the advancing Brazilian soybean harvest, and bearish technical signals added to the weaker tone.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture announced flash sales of 120,000 tonnes of soybeans to Mexico this morning.

CORN futures were weaker, taking some direction from soybeans and wheat.

Corn traders were also still looking for signs of increased purchases from China.

WHEAT ended mixed, with small gains in Minneapolis spring wheat and losses in the winter wheat contracts.

While the U.S. does continue to miss out on some export opportunities, Taiwan did purchase 110,000 tonnes of U.S. wheat in its latest tender.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York was up two cents at US$55.50 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US75.79 cents, down from 75.91 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3195.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Canola Mar 19  467.60s  -3.20  -0.68%

Canola May 19  474.80s  -3.10  -0.65%

Canola Jul 19  482.80s  -2.90  -0.60%

Canola Nov 19  486.30s  -2.80  -0.57%

Canola Jan 20  492.10s  -2.70  -0.55%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybean Mar 19  903-6s  -8-0  -0.88%

Soybean May 19  917-0s  -8-0  -0.86%

Soybean Jul 19  930-4s  -8-0  -0.85%

Soybean Aug 19  936-2s  -8-0  -0.85%

Soybean Sep 19  940-0s  -7-4  -0.79%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 19  303.2s  -2.2  -0.72%

Soybean Meal May 19  307.3s  -2.1  -0.68%

Soybean Meal Jul 19  311.1s  -2.1  -0.67%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 19  30.09s  -0.27  -0.89%

Soybean Oil May 19  30.40s  -0.28  -0.91%

Soybean Oil Jul 19  30.74s  -0.28  -0.90%

 

Corn Mar 19  366-2s  -4-2  -1.15%

Corn May 19  376-0s  -4-0  -1.05%

Corn Jul 19  384-4s  -3-6  -0.97%

Corn Sep 19  389-6s  -3-0  -0.76%

Corn Dec 19  396-2s  -2-2  -0.56%

 

Oats Mar 19  265-4s  -3-4  -1.30%

Oats May 19  268-0s  -4-0  -1.47%

Oats Jul 19  268-6s  -5-0  -1.83%

Oats Sep 19  262-6s  -3-0  -1.13%

Oats Dec 19  257-2s  -2-0  -0.77%

 

Wheat Mar 19  460-2s  -6-4  -1.39%

Wheat May 19  468-2s  -4-4  -0.95%

Wheat Jul 19  475-2s  -2-4  -0.52%

Wheat Sep 19  485-4s  -2-0  -0.41%

Wheat Dec 19  500-4s  -1-0  -0.20%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 19  563-4s  +2-4  +0.45%

Spring Wheat May 19  555-0s  +2-0  +0.36%

Spring Wheat Jul 19  559-2s  +2-2  +0.40%

Spring Wheat Sep 19  566-4s  +2-4  +0.44%

Spring Wheat Dec 19  579-6s  +2-0  +0.35%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19  435-6s  -6-4  -1.47%

Hard Red Wheat May 19  444-2s  -6-0  -1.33%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19  455-0s  -4-4  -0.98%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19  467-6s  -3-6  -0.80%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19  486-6s  -3-0  -0.61%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Feb 19  129.575s  +1.025  +0.80%

Live Cattle Apr 19  129.925s  +0.700  +0.54%

Live Cattle Jun 19  120.050s  +0.450  +0.38%

 

Feeder Cattle Mar 19  143.450s  +0.950  +0.67%

Feeder Cattle Apr 19  146.775s  +1.125  +0.77%

Feeder Cattle May 19  147.900s  +0.875  +0.60%

 

Lean Hogs Apr 19  55.725s  +1.825  +3.39%

Lean Hogs May 19  65.325s  +1.475  +2.31%

Lean Hogs Jun 19  75.550s  +1.000  +1.34%

 

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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