Ample supply holds back Canola; wheat unchanged

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Published: December 20, 2018

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Ample supply holds back Canola; wheat unchanged

ICE Futures canola contracts were weaker on Thursday, as losses in most outside equity and energy markets spilled into the grains and oilseeds.

Declines in Chicago Board of Trade soybean and soyoil contracts contributed to the softer tone in canola, with the losses in soybeans coming despite some solid weekly export data.

Ample canola supplies in the commercial pipeline and a seasonal slowdown in demand also weighed on canola, according to participants.

 

However, weakness in the Canadian dollar provided some underlying support as the currency dipped below 74 U.S. cents.

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About 24,749 canola contracts traded, which compares with Wednesday when 24,162 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 17,550 of the contracts traded.

SOYBEAN futures at the Chicago Board of Trade were weaker on Thursday, as the selloff in the stock market spilled into the market.

The losses in beans came despite strong export business, with traders still looking for more sales.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) reported weekly U.S. soybean export sales of 2.8 million tonnes, which topped trade expectations. Additional flash sales of 200,000 tonnes to China and another 250,000 tonnes to unknown destinations were also reported.

There was talk that China could buy another two million tonnes over the next week, although trade relations between the U.S. and China remain somewhat shaky after the U.S. charged two Chinese men with hacking into U.S. government networks.

CORN futures were also pressured lower by the broad-based sense of risk-aversion in the financial markets.

The USDA announced weekly corn export sales of nearly two million tonnes for delivery during the current crop year and an additional 542,000 tonnes for 2019/20.

The USDA also announced additional private sales of 426,000 tonnes to Mexico this morning.

WHEAT settled near unchanged, seeing some consolidation after yesterday’s declines.

Chart-based positioning was a feature – as the weekly export data was relatively soft for wheat. The USDA reported weekly wheat export sales of only 313,000 tonnes, which was below trade estimates and well off the previous week’s total.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up xx cents at US$xx.xx per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around USxx.xx cents, down from xx.xx cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.xxxx. 1/.7795

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne.

Name / Contract Last Change % Change

Canola Jan 19 477.40s -3.00 -0.62%

Canola Mar 19 485.80s -2.70 -0.55%

Canola May 19 493.60s -2.50 -0.50%

Canola Jul 19 500.30s -2.40 -0.48%

Canola Nov 19 498.00s -0.40 -0.08%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 19 893-4s -6-4 -0.72%

Soybeans Mar 19 906-2s -6-6 -0.74%

Soybeans May 19 919-2s -6-4 -0.70%

Soybeans Jul 19 931-2s -6-4 -0.69%

Soybeans Aug 19 935-6s -6-4 -0.69%

 

Soybean Meal Jan 19 307.7s -0.1 -0.03%

Soybean Meal Mar 19 312.0s unch unch

Soybean Meal May 19 315.2s -0.4 -0.13%

 

Soybean Oil Jan 19 28.20s -0.26 -0.91%

Soybean Oil Mar 19 28.48s -0.24 -0.84%

Soybean Oil May 19 28.72s -0.26 -0.90%

 

Corn Mar 19 375-2s -6-4 -1.70%

Corn May 19 383-0s -6-6 -1.73%

Corn Jul 19 390-2s -6-4 -1.64%

Corn Sep 19 392-2s -6-0 -1.51%

Corn Dec 19 396-6s -5-6 -1.43%

 

Oats Mar 19 278-2s -8-2 -2.88%

Oats May 19 281-4s -7-4 -2.60%

Oats Jul 19 281-2s -6-2 -2.17%

Oats Sep 19 271-0s -3-4 -1.28%

Oats Dec 19 263-6s -2-0 -0.75%

 

Wheat Mar 19 523-4s +1-0 +0.19%

Wheat May 19 531-0s +1-2 +0.24%

Wheat Jul 19 538-2s +1-2 +0.23%

Wheat Sep 19 546-0s +1-2 +0.23%

Wheat Dec 19 559-4s +2-0 +0.36%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 19 568-0s -0-4 -0.09%

Spring Wheat May 19 574-6s -0-2 -0.04%

Spring Wheat Jul 19 581-0s -0-2 -0.04%

Spring Wheat Sep 19 589-0s unch unch

Spring Wheat Dec 19 601-4s unch unch

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 19 509-4s +1-0 +0.20%

Hard Red Wheat May 19 520-6s +0-6 +0.14%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 19 532-2s +0-6 +0.14%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 19 543-2s unch unch

Hard Red Wheat Dec 19 560-6s unch unch

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle   Dec 18 120.225s +0.500 +0.42%

Live Cattle   Feb 19 122.350s +0.100 +0.08%

Live Cattle   Apr 19 124.575s unch unch

 

Feeder Cattle   Jan 19 147.425s +1.225 +0.84%

Feeder Cattle   Mar 19 145.450s +1.175 +0.81%

Feeder Cattle   Apr 19 145.900s +1.100 +0.76%

 

Lean Hogs   Feb 19 62.375s -0.325 -0.52%

Lean Hogs   Apr 19 67.775s -0.100 -0.15%

Lean Hogs   May 19 73.850s +0.100 +0.14%

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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