Grain is flowing well as the crop year comes to a close, with 10 vessels loaded at Vancouver late last month compared to the usual six or
seven. | File photo

Grain movement looks good but faces challenges

Lower crop prices slowed deliveries at the beginning of the 2023-24 year, while railways struggled with labour issues

SASKATOON — Grain movement has been on track this crop year despite some challenges, but it hasn’t been as good as last year, according to Canada’s grain monitor. “There has been so much stuff that has happened this year that has confounded the movement,” said Quorum Corp. president Mark Hemmes. The first challenge was the […] Read more

Analysts’ estimates of this year’s Russian pea crop vary from 3.75 million tonnes to more than four million.  |  File photo

Russia expected to ship fewer peas

The export situation will mainly depend on how the country’s crop fares this year, which has been hurting in the south

SASKATOON — Traders agree that Russia’s pea exports will be down this year, but they differ widely on the magnitude of the drop. Tareq Awad, a trader with Fruitimpex, is forecasting another good crop exceeding four million tonnes of production. He told delegates attending a recent Global Pulses Confederation webinar that he anticipates 2.5 million […] Read more

Some analysts have argued that canola could benefit from the European Union’s anti-deforestation law, which targets competitors such as soybeans and palm oil, but others say it is too early tell what might happen.  |  File photo

Anti-deforestation law’s impact on canola remains uncertain

The European Union legislation could change trade flows, but it is hard to predict the overall effect on canola demand

SASKATOON — It is unclear what impact the European Union’s looming anti-deforestation regulation will have on canola demand, says an industry official. The EU’s Regulation on Deforestation-free Products entered into force June 29, 2023. It stipulates that any business or trader who markets commodities such as cattle, wood, cocoa, soy, palm oil, coffee, rubber and […] Read more


Canadian growers could harvest 7.5 million tonnes of durum this year and U.S. farmers another 3.5 million tonnes, for a combined North American crop of 11 million tonnes, which would be double last year’s output.  |  File photo

Wheat growers may see premium over durum

Canadian farmers planted 6.36 million acres of durum, 5.5 per cent more than 2023, while U.S. acres jumped 29 per cent

SASKATOON — The price spread between spring wheat and durum will likely narrow in 2024-25, says a grain industry analyst. In fact, this could be one of those rare years when spring wheat momentarily trades at a premium to durum, said GrainFox chief analyst Neil Townsend. Canadian farmers planted 6.36 million acres of the crop, […] Read more

New BRICS grain exchange idea gains traction

Group appears to be getting behind Russia’s proposal for a new marketing system, but trade observers remain skeptical


SASKATOON — Russia’s proposal to form a BRICS grain exchange appears to be gaining momentum. BRICS is an intergovernmental organization comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia and the United Arab Emirates, according to Wikipedia. The idea for a BRICS grain exchange was originally tabled by the chair of Russia’s Union of […] Read more


Jason Newton, chief economist and head of market research with Nutrien, provides a global crop market outlook to delegates attending the International Farm Management Association Congress in Saskatoon earlier this week.  |  Sean Pratt photo

Global demand exceeds crop supply, says economist

Sluggish production blamed on adverse weather conditions and high input costs that led to reduced fertilizer use

SASKATOON — Rising demand and below-trend yields are leading to a tightness in global supply of the major crops, says one of the world’s largest crop input suppliers. The global stocks-to-use ratio for the major crops, excluding China, has been trending down since 2018, Jason Newton, Nutrien’s chief economist, told delegates attending the 24th International […] Read more

Russia exported about three million tonnes of peas in 2023-24, with China and India as priority markets for the country in the coming year. | File photo

Russia now sells more peas to China than Canada

Canada used to have a 95 to 97 per cent market share but that has dropped to 44. 6 per cent SASKATOON — Russia has officially displaced Canada as the top exporter of peas to China.Russia’s Union of Grain Exporters said the country shipped 1.13 million tonnes of the crop to that market in 2023-24, […] Read more

La Niña is expected to have little impact on this summer's precipitation but look for heavy snows and cold this coming winter.  |  File photo

La Niña expected to return

SASKATOON — Well, that was quick.Climatologists are already waving goodbye to El Niño and hello to yet another possible La Niña event.The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says ENSO-neutral conditions are now present, a phenomenon known in meteorological circles as La Nada.That is a period when world weather patterns are not influenced by either […] Read more


Markets for oilseeds such as Canadian canola are expected to shift from China in favour of customers in India and southeast Asia.  |  File photo

China displaced as agricultural market driver

China accounted for 28 per cent of global food consumption growth in the last decade, but that could fall to 11 percent SASKATOON — India, Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are displacing China as drivers of agricultural markets, according to a new report.The paper, jointly released by the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) […] Read more

High prices could be making canary seed buyers reluctant to purchase say analysts.  |  File photo

Buyers wait out canaryseed growers

Traders think prices will need to fall some more before customers are comfortable enough to get back into the market SASKATOON — Traders think canaryseed prices are still too high.“We need a bit lower prices, I believe, for buyers to be comfortable risking their capital,” said David Nobbs, a trader with Purely Canada Foods.Rayglen Commodities […] Read more