If the forecasts are correct, the spring planting campaign in most areas should get underway with only a modest delay, not like last year when late blizzards led to serious delays. | File photo

Markets focus on weather, credit tightening and oil price

With the weather finally warming, market watchers’ attention in coming weeks will be focused on the pace of planting progress in North America while they also keep a wary eye on interest rates, credit availability and oil prices. The cool start to spring on the northern Plains means there is a larger than normal area […] Read more

The current range of prices for crops such as corn is more reflective of supply-demand fundamentals than last year’s panic buying sparked by fears over the war in Ukraine and the spectre of inflation.  |  Reuters/Daniel Acker photo

Hoping for a year of fewer anxieties and calmer markets

After staring at supply-demand ratios and historical futures price graphs, I’ve concluded that crop markets are in a similar state to what they were in the early spring of two years ago. And I wonder if analysis of supply and demand will return as the key factor dominating crop price movement after a year when […] Read more


China will likely need a significant amount of corn again in the coming year, but Ukraine and Argentina are both suffering. | File photo

China’s hunger for corn one reason to help end the war

Chinese president Xi Jinping visits Russia this week to discuss Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and to sign agreements to cement closer ties between Moscow and Beijing. Fresh off of success brokering a peace deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia, China wants to burnish its image as a world leader that can do things that its […] Read more

Futures prices fell for several reasons, including expectations for continued wheat supply from the Black Sea regions and worries over the slow pace of American corn exports. | Getty Images

Global wheat market is calm compared to previous year

It has been a rough couple of weeks for grain markets as futures prices fell for several reasons, including expectations for continued wheat supply from the Black Sea regions and worries over the slow pace of American corn exports. Chicago May soft wheat saw the biggest percentage decline in the two weeks between Feb. 23 […] Read more


Analysts think crude oil demand will continue to rise but that global investment in new oil production is failing to keep up.  |  Mike Sturk photo

Crude oil prices have fallen but could rally in second half

After a year at elevated levels, oil prices are back near where they were before Russia invaded Ukraine but diesel, while moderated, is still above pre-invasion prices . With the seeding season only a few weeks away, Canadian farmers hope their diesel costs don’t see a repeat of last year when prices soared in response […] Read more

Corn planting in the U.S. is expected to rise because the soybean-corn futures price ratio currently sits at about 2.32-to-one, a lower level than at the same time in the previous five years. The ratio has to climb to 2.4-to-one or higher to encourage soybean planting. | File photo

Falling fertilizer costs benefit corn in U.S. planting plans

Several factors, including falling input costs, should encourage American farmers to increase corn plantings this spring, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. But actual seeding doesn’t begin for almost two months so weather and other issues could alter the seeding mindset between now and then. Crop prices fell following the USDA Outlook Conference where […] Read more

These hog facilities were under construction on a farm near Guangxi, China, in 2018. A Chinese company is now building even bigger towers that will produce 1.2 million pigs a year.  |  Reuters/Thomas Suen photo

China’s four-legged consumers set for high-rise living

We all know that China’s food demand and production is a major factor in global agricultural trade. And the first representative image of Chinese imported food demand that comes to mind might be a crowded marketplace with lots of shoppers. However, what is likely a more accurate picture is a hog production facility because so […] Read more


Canadian canola exports had hit 4.295 million tonnes at the crop year’s half-way point.  |  File photo

Canola exports, soy oil and meal all affect canola’s price

We are a little more than halfway through the crop year and it looks like exports and domestic use of major crops are on pace to reach the forecasts set out in Agriculture Canada’s monthly supply and demand outlook. Later on, I’ll also look at developments in soybean oil and meal markets, but first, let’s […] Read more

Palm oil, produced mainly in Indonesia and Malaysia, accounts for 35.5 percent of all the vegetable oil produced globally, making it the leader, topping soybean oil at 28.25 percent and rapeseed oil at 14.6 percent. | Reuters photo

Palm’s influence on veg oil market neutral to supportive

Palm oil production is expected to rise only a little this year and global use is rising, leading to expectations that year-end stocks will shrink. That is usually a recipe for solid price support, but the market is also influenced by policy decisions and energy markets so pricing predictions are hard to make. Palm oil, […] Read more