Many farmers should find reason to cheer harvest weather forecast

WINNIPEG, Aug. 15 – Farmers on the Canadian Prairies can expect decent weather for this harvest season, according to Drew Lerner, meteorologist and founder of WorldWeather Inc.

He said most farmers will experience periodic showers but shouldn’t be subjected to the continual drizzles and sheets of rain that caused heartaches last year.

“Most of the Prairies will see a good mix of rain and sunshine and more sunshine than rain, actually.”

Lerner said he sees no significant rainfall for the Prairies for August and a bit more for September, but it shouldn’t be enough to cause serious setbacks for farmers.

“There will be a certain amount of mixed emotions about that, of course, with it being as dry as it is in some areas. Putting moisture back into the ground before we go into the cold season would be extremely important for planting in the spring,” he said.

Lerner said his forecasts are based on long-term weather patterns that have been locked in over the Prairies for some time. He expects the northwesterly flows to continue through most of autumn, which means humidity will stay low, and that means cooler air will arrive sooner to the region, making rain less likely. Large amounts of rainfall, necessary to boost soil moisture reserves, aren’t likely to happen.

Frost could strike during the last week of August or early September, but he added that most crops will be advanced enough by then that the frost shouldn’t do much harm.

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Farmers in northern Alberta and northwestern Saskatchewan might want to keep their fingers crossed, however, because some crops there are behind in development and could be susceptible, depending on how hard of a frost rolls through.

‘We’re kind of concerned about that,” he said.

A second round of cold will likely strike in mid-September, he said.

After that, the weather pattern shifts and the coldest temperatures should appear in eastern parts of North America. That could place Manitoba fields at greater risk, he said.

Overall though, it’s not a bad scenario that’s playing out, although there will always be some nervousness about corn and soybean crops in the southeastern Prairies, he said.

“The odds are pretty good that we will cool down in a more typical manner this year and the growing season will end relatively seasonably.”

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  • ed

    The most consistently correct weather forecast is that it will be getting darker towards nightfall.

    • Harold

      Agreed, it is not logical to cheer a hope based upon future time fiction. Weather is unpredictable as we all know, and it’s like cheering the outcome of a game before the players have even entered onto the field. Sure there is hope, but hope does not create or secure the future. If they can’t even get next month or next year’s forecast correct using their current models, why do we even accept their climate change model forecast? I would assume that far future fiction is taxable and near future is not, and if we cheer the far future forecast, we will pay money from our pockets to get into the game as spectators and paying the teams salaries.
      Next week’s forecast is based solely upon today’s now time facts and they have plenty of now time facts, and yet they have been in the past consistent in error.

      • ed

        Yep.